SaturdayEdge.com’s Best Bet for Week Eleven

Nevada +3.5

Nevada is typically tough at home, and they’re even tougher to beat at home with an extra week to prepare for an opponent. Nevada’s last loss in this case was in 2007, a 28-26 loss to a Hawaii team that went 12-1 and suffered its only loss to Georgia in the Sugar Bowl.

Fresno State on the other hand will be playing their 11th straight game of the 2012 season and they’ll be doing it at altitude in Reno. Combine that with the fact that Nevada has won the last four games in this series and we are starting to put together a pretty good resume for an upset.

I also like Nevada’s rushing attack against Fresno State’s rush D. Fresno State’s strength is its pass defense, but the Bulldogs are allowing 173 ypg rushing and the Wolfpack are third in the MWC averaging 240.88 ypg.

In what should be a very close, high scoring game, I’ll gladly take the better running team getting points at home.

Nevada 38 Fresno State 37

 

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